Lietuvos Respublikos valstybės saugumo departamentas

Although the Belarusian regime has expressed an interest in improving relations with Western countries, it almost certainly does not intend to soften its authoritarian policies. Public meetings between Alexander Lukashenka and Western officials strengthen the international status of the Belarusian regime. The regime uses these meetings in its propaganda to reinforce the narrative that ensuring regional security is inseparable from Belarus’s involvement in addressing security issues in the region.

Easing sanctions against Belarus is likely to have a significant impact on the country’s economic sustainability and growth. However, restoring economic ties with the West will not offset Belarus’s growing economic dependence on Russia.

In its fight against political opponents, the Belarusian regime compiles extremist watchlists that include members of the political opposition, as well as anyone who criticises the regime — including individuals and entities from other countries. Anyone who is on the lists or has connections with those included faces the threat of arrest in Belarus.

Cooperation with China is becoming increasingly important for the Belarusian economy. To further this economic partnership, Belarus is showing greater support for China’s foreign policy and strengthening security ties.

Russia expands its activities in Africa to maintain its image as a global power

Lukashenka is easing international isolation of the Belarusian regime but does not abandon authoritarian practices or the country’s orientation towards Russia

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BELARUS