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The national Threat Assessment by the Defence Intelligence and Security Service under the Ministry of National Defence of the Republic of Lithuania (AOTD) and the State Security Department of the Republic of Lithuania (VSD) is presented to the public in accordance with Articles 8 and 26 of the Law on intelligence of the Republic of Lithuania. The document provides consolidated, unclassified assessment of threats and risks to national security of the Republic of Lithuania prepared by both intelligence services. The document assesses events, processes, and trends that correspond to the intelligence requirements approved by the state Defence Council. The assessment is based on the information available before 25 February 2024.

The table below outlines the language of probability and definition of terms used in this assessment:

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